Every bet on today's slate, moneylines and totals together, ranked from most to least confident. This isn't a repeat of each game's full write-up, just the read on how the evidence stacks up against the rest of the board.
Chicago has the mound edge with Gausman and the bullpen comparison also tilts their way, which is about as clean a two-layer case as this board has today. The concern factor is the bullpen, and it still favors the Cubs, so there is no real problem here.
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Perkins at 6.68 makes this one of the wider starting pitching gaps on today's board, and Baz holding that edge means the mound advantage is the clearest reason Baltimore sits this high. The one factor worth checking is the run differential, and it still favors the Orioles, so there is no real problem here either.
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Pérez against Feltner is the kind of starting edge that anchors a pick cleanly, and Atlanta's run-suppression numbers behind it are among the best in baseball. The one thing to note is that both teams score at 4.7 runs per game, but the pitching gap is wide enough that there is no real problem here.
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