Every bet on today's slate, moneylines and totals together, ranked from most to least confident. This isn't a repeat of each game's full write-up, just the read on how the evidence stacks up against the rest of the board.
St. Louis at home against a Detroit team with a shot-suppression problem is a real edge, but this sits at four stars and not five because the goaltending picture cuts the other way. Joel Hofer is the best netminder in this game, and that's the one thing keeping this from being a cleaner line on St. Louis.
Full BreakdownMontreal's defensive structure is the clearest signal here, limiting shots at a rate Detroit can't match on the road, which is the foundation of the case. Where it stops short of five stars is the scoring matchup, because Minnesota's offense against Montreal's defense looks better on paper than Montreal's offense against Minnesota's defense.
Full BreakdownThe goaltending edge is the whole story here, Mackenzie Blackwood coming in strong against a Bobrovsky who has been shaky is the kind of net advantage that anchors a four-star side. The one thing keeping this from sitting higher is Colorado's shot-suppression numbers on the road, which are the weaker side of an otherwise strong case.
Full BreakdownFlorida's scoring matchup against Columbus's defense is lopsided enough that this is one of the more comfortable cases on the board today. The rest disadvantage, Columbus sitting on an extra day, is the specific reason this doesn't push to five stars rather than staying at four.
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