Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks, MLB Picks

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
VS
Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks
Mon, Sep 14 ยท 9:40 PM ET
โ€บ
Market Action
Opens shortly
Odds haven't been tracked for this game yet. The moneyline and total graphs, splits, and sharp-money read publish here once the market opens.
Model Projection
These numbers come from a power-rating model built on the method Billy Walters lays out in his book Gambler.
Projected Moneyline
ARI -100
Projected Total
8.5
This projection and current market action are supplementary and do not influence the final qualitative pick and analysis of today's game.
Season stats ordered from most to least relevant. Longer bar, stronger league standing.
MIAARI
4.4 (T17th)
Runs
(T17th) 4.4
How many runs does the team score per game?
(League Avg: 4.5 Runs/Game)
0.725 (11th)
OPS
(23rd) 0.707
How strong is the team's overall offense?
(League Avg: 0.718 OPS)
32.6% (6th)
OBP
(T18th) 31.4%
How often does the team get on base per plate appearance?
(League Avg: 31.8%)
0.399 (T18th)
SLG
(23rd) 0.393
How many total bases does the team average per at-bat?
(League Avg: 0.400 SLG)
149 (T24th)
HR
(26th) 141
How many home runs has the team hit this season?
(League Avg: 165 HR)
8.2 (T15th)
Hits
(T17th) 8.1
How many hits does the team get per game?
(League Avg: 8.2 Hits/Game)
24.7% (T11th)
AVG
(T18th) 24.2%
How often does the team get a hit per at-bat?
(League Avg: 24.4%)
149 (2nd)
SB
(T14th) 98
How many bases has the team stolen this season?
(League Avg: 98 SB)
4.3 (T11th)
Runs Allowed
(T13th) 4.4
How many runs does the team allow per game?
(League Avg: 4.5 Runs/Game)
4.00 (12th)
ERA
(T14th) 4.12
How many earned runs do pitchers allow per 9 innings?
(League Avg: 4.17 ERA)
1.27 (T10th)
WHIP
(13th) 1.28
How many runners do pitchers allow per inning?
(League Avg: 1.30 WHIP)
8.29 (18th)
K/9
(30th) 6.98
How many strikeouts do pitchers get per 9 innings?
(League Avg: 8.49 K/9)
144 (T5th)
HR Allowed
(18th) 162
How many home runs has the team allowed this season?
(League Avg: 165 HR)
7.7 (T4th)
Hits Allowed
(T20th) 8.4
How many hits does the team allow per game?
(League Avg: 8.2 Hits/Game)
23.4% (7th)
BAA
(20th) 24.9%
How often do opponents get a hit per at-bat?
(League Avg: 24.4%)
98.2% (T26th)
FLD%
(T1st) 99.0%
How often does the defense avoid errors?
(League Avg: 98.6%)
Pitching Matchup
Opens shortly
Probable starters haven't been announced yet. The full pitching breakdown publishes here once both teams name a starter.
Team Conditions
Bullpen health, schedule rest, and the current injury list.
MIAARI
Bullpen
4.04 ERA
(16th of 30)
4.03 ERA
(15th of 30)
Closer is rested and ready.
Closer is rested and ready.
Setup relievers are rested and ready.
One setup reliever may be limited tonight.
Manager is leaning on middle relief more than usual.
Manager is leaning on middle relief more than usual.
Long reliever was just used and may be unavailable.
Long reliever was just used and may be unavailable.
Rest
Home for several days.
Extra innings last night with no day off.
No travel concerns.
Very little time to recover.
InjuryKey Players
A. Bender (RP) - SEP 7
M. Meyer (SP) - SEP 7
X. Edwards (2B) - SEP 7
P. Fairbanks (RP) - SEP 7
A. Nardi (RP) - AUG 24
W. Kempner (RP) - AUG 21
R. Snelling (SP) - AUG 7
A. Mazur (SP) - AUG 7
R. Henriquez (RP) - JUL 17
C. Burnes (SP) - SEP 7
R. Nelson (SP) - SEP 6
M. Soroka (SP) - SEP 6
Z. Gallen (SP) - SEP 5
R. Thompson (RP) - SEP 1
A. Puk (RP) - AUG 7
A. Saalfrank (RP) - JUL 18
C. Mena (RP) - JUN 1
Weather and Ballpark
Opens shortly
Game-time conditions aren't meaningful yet this far out. The real forecast and ballpark read publish here a couple days before first pitch.
Side Write-Up
๐Ÿ”’ Final pick drops September 14
The pick may already be decided, but it stays under wraps until the day before first pitch -- so it can't be second-guessed by a week of news, lineup, or line movement.
Total Write-Up
๐Ÿ”’ Final pick drops September 14
The pick may already be decided, but it stays under wraps until the day before first pitch -- so it can't be second-guessed by a week of news, lineup, or line movement.
VIMB
Written by
VIMB
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Games Tested
This information is for entertainment purposes only and is not any form of financial or gambling advice. Sports involve high variance therefore always be responsible and manage your risk accordingly.
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