Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers, MLB Picks

Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
VS
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
Mon, Sep 21 ยท 6:40 PM ET
โ€นโ€บ
Market Action
Opens shortly
Odds haven't been tracked for this game yet. The moneyline and total graphs, splits, and sharp-money read publish here once the market opens.
Model Projection
These numbers come from a power-rating model built on the method Billy Walters lays out in his book Gambler.
Projected Moneyline
DET -140
Projected Total
9.5
This projection and current market action are supplementary and do not influence the final qualitative pick and analysis of today's game.
Season stats ordered from most to least relevant. Longer bar, stronger league standing.
WSHDET
5.1 (3rd)
Runs
(T12th) 4.5
How many runs does the team score per game?
(League Avg: 4.5 Runs/Game)
0.749 (3rd)
OPS
(T17th) 0.715
How strong is the team's overall offense?
(League Avg: 0.720 OPS)
32.3% (T7th)
OBP
(T15th) 31.6%
How often does the team get on base per plate appearance?
(League Avg: 31.9%)
0.426 (2nd)
SLG
(T19th) 0.399
How many total bases does the team average per at-bat?
(League Avg: 0.401 SLG)
198 (4th)
HR
(18th) 169
How many home runs has the team hit this season?
(League Avg: 173 HR)
8.5 (7th)
Hits
(T18th) 8.1
How many hits does the team get per game?
(League Avg: 8.2 Hits/Game)
24.8% (T9th)
AVG
(22nd) 23.9%
How often does the team get a hit per at-bat?
(League Avg: 24.4%)
166 (1st)
SB
(29th) 54
How many bases has the team stolen this season?
(League Avg: 102 SB)
5.1 (27th)
Runs Allowed
(6th) 4.0
How many runs does the team allow per game?
(League Avg: 4.5 Runs/Game)
4.74 (27th)
ERA
(T5th) 3.66
How many earned runs do pitchers allow per 9 innings?
(League Avg: 4.19 ERA)
1.39 (T26th)
WHIP
(5th) 1.22
How many runners do pitchers allow per inning?
(League Avg: 1.31 WHIP)
7.97 (25th)
K/9
(22nd) 8.14
How many strikeouts do pitchers get per 9 innings?
(League Avg: 8.48 K/9)
203 (27th)
HR Allowed
(T6th) 155
How many home runs has the team allowed this season?
(League Avg: 173 HR)
8.6 (T24th)
Hits Allowed
(T4th) 7.7
How many hits does the team allow per game?
(League Avg: 8.2 Hits/Game)
25.4% (T25th)
BAA
(T5th) 23.3%
How often do opponents get a hit per at-bat?
(League Avg: 24.4%)
98.2% (T27th)
FLD%
(T9th) 98.7%
How often does the defense avoid errors?
(League Avg: 98.5%)
Pitching Matchup
Opens shortly
Probable starters haven't been announced yet. The full pitching breakdown publishes here once both teams name a starter.
Team Conditions
Bullpen health, schedule rest, and the current injury list.
WSHDET
Bullpen
5.14 ERA
(29th of 30)
3.88 ERA
(10th of 30)
Closer is rested and ready.
Closer pitched recently but should be OK.
Setup relievers are rested and ready.
One setup reliever may be limited tonight.
Manager is leaning on middle relief more than usual.
Manager is leaning on middle relief more than usual.
Long reliever was just used and may be unavailable.
Long reliever was just used and may be unavailable.
Rest
Home for several days.
No day off before this road game.
No travel concerns.
Limited time to recover.
InjuryKey Players
M. Waldron (RP) - SEP 12
H. Ford (C) - SEP 11
C. Early (SP) - SEP 10
D. Millas (C) - SEP 10
O. Ribalta (RP) - SEP 8
J. Gray (SP) - SEP 4
D. Herz (SP) - AUG 21
P. Poulin (RP) - AUG 2
M. Parker (RP) - JUL 30
K. Waldichuk (RP) - JUN 11
C. Keith (3B) - SEP 14
J. Verlander (SP) - SEP 12
J. Flaherty (SP) - SEP 11
W. Perez (RF) - SEP 11
M. Vierling (CF) - SEP 6
K. Carpenter (RF) - AUG 31
W. Vest (RP) - AUG 11
B. Smith (RP) - JUL 24
B. Horn (RP) - JUL 17
P. Meadows (CF) - JUN 25
T. Sweeney (SS) - JUN 5
R. Olson (SP) - MAY 8
Weather and Ballpark
Opens shortly
Game-time conditions aren't meaningful yet this far out. The real forecast and ballpark read publish here a couple days before first pitch.
Side Write-Up
๐Ÿ”’ Final pick drops September 21
The pick may already be decided, but it stays under wraps until the day before first pitch -- so it can't be second-guessed by a week of news, lineup, or line movement.
Total Write-Up
๐Ÿ”’ Final pick drops September 21
The pick may already be decided, but it stays under wraps until the day before first pitch -- so it can't be second-guessed by a week of news, lineup, or line movement.
VIMB
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Games Tested
This information is for entertainment purposes only and is not any form of financial or gambling advice. Sports involve high variance therefore always be responsible and manage your risk accordingly.
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