St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates, MLB Picks
Market Action
Opens shortly
Odds haven't been tracked for this game yet. The moneyline and total graphs, splits, and sharp-money read publish here once the market opens.
Model Projection
These numbers come from a power-rating model built on the method Billy Walters lays out in his book Gambler.
Projected Moneyline
PIT -125
Projected Total
9.5
This projection and current market action are supplementary and do not influence the final qualitative pick and analysis of today's game.
Season stats ordered from most to least relevant. Longer bar, stronger league standing.
STLPIT
Pitching Matchup
Opens shortly
Probable starters haven't been announced yet. The full pitching breakdown publishes here once both teams name a starter.
Team Conditions
Bullpen health, schedule rest, and the current injury list.
STLPIT
Bullpen
4.56 ERA
(24th of 30)
4.13 ERA
(19th of 30)
Closer pitched recently but should be OK.
Closer is rested and ready.
Setup relievers are rested and ready.
One setup reliever may be limited tonight.
Middle relief has been used a bit.
Manager is leaning on middle relief more than usual.
Long reliever pitched recently but has had a day to recover.
Long reliever was just used and may be unavailable.
Rest
Played extra innings last time out.
Home for several days.
Bullpen and bench got less rest.
No travel concerns.
InjuryKey Players
J. Baez (LF) - SEP 16
B. Jordan (3B) - SEP 14
H. Dobbins (SP) - SEP 3
E. Pereira (RF) - AUG 28
M. Rajcic (RP) - JUL 23
E. Valdez (RF) - SEP 12
B. Ashcraft (SP) - SEP 10
I. Mattson (RP) - SEP 8
K. Yates (RP) - SEP 3
E. Rodriguez (C) - SEP 1
M. Keller (SP) - AUG 3
Weather and Ballpark
Opens shortly
Game-time conditions aren't meaningful yet this far out. The real forecast and ballpark read publish here a couple days before first pitch.
Side Write-Up
🔒 Final pick drops September 23
The pick may already be decided, but it stays under wraps until the day before first pitch -- so it can't be second-guessed by a week of news, lineup, or line movement.
Total Write-Up
🔒 Final pick drops September 23
The pick may already be decided, but it stays under wraps until the day before first pitch -- so it can't be second-guessed by a week of news, lineup, or line movement.
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Games Tested
This information is for entertainment purposes only and is not any form of financial or gambling advice. Sports involve high variance therefore always be responsible and manage your risk accordingly.
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