Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies, MLB Picks
Market Action
Opens shortly
Odds haven't been tracked for this game yet. The moneyline and total graphs, splits, and sharp-money read publish here once the market opens.
Model Projection
These numbers come from a power-rating model built on the method Billy Walters lays out in his book Gambler.
Projected Moneyline
TB -140
Projected Total
8.5
This projection and current market action are supplementary and do not influence the final qualitative pick and analysis of today's game.
Season stats ordered from most to least relevant. Longer bar, stronger league standing.
TBPHI
Pitching Matchup
Opens shortly
Probable starters haven't been announced yet. The full pitching breakdown publishes here once both teams name a starter.
Team Conditions
Bullpen health, schedule rest, and the current injury list.
TBPHI
Bullpen
4.03 ERA
(15th of 30)
4.36 ERA
(21st of 30)
Closer pitched recently but should be OK.
Closer is rested and ready.
One setup reliever may be limited tonight.
Setup relievers have been worked hard recently.
Manager is leaning on middle relief more than usual.
Manager is leaning on middle relief more than usual.
Long reliever pitched recently but has had a day to recover.
Long reliever pitched recently but has had a day to recover.
Rest
Home for several days.
No day off before this road game.
No travel concerns.
Limited time to recover.
InjuryKey Players
G. Cleavinger (RP) - SEP 18
T. Wells (RP) - SEP 15
S. McClanahan (SP) - SEP 15
M. Rodriguez (RP) - SEP 11
G. Lux (LF) - SEP 11
E. Uceta (RP) - AUG 14
J. Heasley (RP) - JUN 8
R. Pepiot (SP) - MAY 8
J. Bowlan (RP) - SEP 18
C. Kilian (RP) - SEP 17
J. Luzardo (SP) - SEP 15
F. Reyes (LF) - AUG 20
B. Keller (RP) - JUL 29
J. Rojas (CF) - JUN 25
A. Garcia (RF) - JUN 24
Weather and Ballpark
Opens shortly
Game-time conditions aren't meaningful yet this far out. The real forecast and ballpark read publish here a couple days before first pitch.
Side Write-Up
🔒 Final pick drops September 26
The pick may already be decided, but it stays under wraps until the day before first pitch -- so it can't be second-guessed by a week of news, lineup, or line movement.
Total Write-Up
🔒 Final pick drops September 26
The pick may already be decided, but it stays under wraps until the day before first pitch -- so it can't be second-guessed by a week of news, lineup, or line movement.
Written by
VIMB
47,000+
Followers Across All Socials
17+
Brand Partners
3+
Years Experience
1,000+
Games Tested
This information is for entertainment purposes only and is not any form of financial or gambling advice. Sports involve high variance therefore always be responsible and manage your risk accordingly.
Other games today

MLBToday's Top Picks, Ranked›
MLB
VS
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets1:10 PM ET›
MLB
VS
Kansas City Royals vs Pittsburgh Pirates1:35 PM ET›
MLB
VS
Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds1:40 PM ET›
MLB
VS
Athletics vs Cleveland Guardians1:40 PM ET›
MLB
VS
Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays1:40 PM ET›
MLB
VS
Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros2:10 PM ET›
MLB
VS
Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox2:10 PM ET›
MLB
VS
Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals2:15 PM ET›
MLB
VS
Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers2:35 PM ET›
MLB
VS
Seattle Mariners vs Colorado Rockies3:10 PM ET›
MLB
VS
Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels4:07 PM ET›
MLB
VS
San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers4:10 PM ET›
MLB
VS
Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres4:10 PM ET›
MLB
VS
New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks4:10 PM ET›
MLB
VS
Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles7:20 PM ET›Free Promos for Your Next Bet!
Current offers for your area. Pick your region and the list updates.
Select Your Location

