Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves, MLB Picks
All stats are publicly graded and pulled from real sportsbook accounts.
RAZORLINESMLB Record: 589 - 466MLB+$379k
NBA+$152k
NFL+$42k
Market Action
Opens shortly
Odds haven't been tracked for this game yet. The moneyline and total graphs, splits, and sharp-money read publish here once the market opens.
Model Projection
These numbers come from a power-rating model built on the method Billy Walters lays out in his book Gambler.
Projected Moneyline
ATL -130
Projected Total
8.6 Runs
This projection and current market action are supplementary and do not influence the final qualitative pick and analysis of today's game.
Season stats ordered from most to least relevant. Longer bar, stronger league standing.
PHIATL
Pitching Matchup
Opens shortly
Probable starters haven't been announced yet. The full pitching breakdown publishes here once both teams name a starter.
Team Conditions
Bullpen health, schedule rest, and the current injury list.
PHIATL
Bullpen
4.43 ERA
(21st of 30)
3.44 ERA
(4th of 30)
Closer pitched recently but should be OK.
Closer is rested and ready.
Setup relievers are rested and ready.
Setup relievers are rested and ready.
Manager is leaning on middle relief more than usual.
Manager is leaning on middle relief more than usual.
Long reliever pitched recently but has had a day to recover.
Long reliever pitched recently but has had a day to recover.
Rest
Home for several days.
No day off before this road game.
No travel concerns.
Limited time to recover.
InjuryKey Players
L. Arraez (2B) - SEP 27
J. Bowlan (RP) - SEP 18
C. Kilian (RP) - SEP 17
F. Reyes (LF) - AUG 20
B. Keller (RP) - JUL 29
J. Rojas (CF) - JUN 25
A. Garcia (RF) - JUN 24
H. Waldrep (SP) - SEP 24
M. Perez (SP) - SEP 24
L. Thomas (LF) - SEP 22
R. Lopez (RP) - SEP 15
J. Jimenez (RP) - SEP 15
B. Elder (SP) - SEP 9
S. Strider (SP) - AUG 28
S. Schwellenbach (SP) - AUG 28
J. Wentz (RP) - MAY 8
Weather and Ballpark
Opens shortly
Game-time conditions aren't meaningful yet this far out. The real forecast and ballpark read publish here a couple days before first pitch.
Side Write-Up
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This write-up is being put together right now. It'll be here shortly.
Total Write-Up
Opens shortly
The final pick is locked until real market data exists, so it can't be second-guessed by a few hours of line movement. Check back once the market opens.
Written by
VIMB
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Games Tested
This information is for entertainment purposes only and is not any form of financial or gambling advice. Sports involve high variance therefore always be responsible and manage your risk accordingly.
On this page
All stats are publicly graded and pulled from real sportsbook accounts.
RAZORLINESMLB Record: 589 - 466MLB+$379k
NBA+$152k
NFL+$42k
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