Every bet across this week's slate, against-the-spread picks and totals together, ranked from most to least confident. This ranking is scoped to the whole week, not one day, and updates daily as more of the week's games post real write-ups.
The defensive quality of this matchup is the headline factor, and the scoring projection falls in line with it, making this the steadiest under on the board. The one soft note is that the projection barely clears the line rather than by a wide margin, but for a matchup this clean, there's no real problem with the setup.
Full BreakdownA projection clearing this line by roughly 10 points is the widest total margin on the board, and that alone puts this at the top of the over list. The only thing separating this from a completely friction-free setup is that neither defense provides a real floor, which for an over bet is not a problem at all.
Full Breakdown





