Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies, MLB Picks

Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
VS
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies
Thu, Sep 24 · 6:05 PM ET
Market Action
Opens shortly
Odds haven't been tracked for this game yet. The moneyline and total graphs, splits, and sharp-money read publish here once the market opens.
Model Projection
These numbers come from a power-rating model built on the method Billy Walters lays out in his book Gambler.
Projected Moneyline
MIL -160
Projected Total
9
This projection and current market action are supplementary and do not influence the final qualitative pick and analysis of today's game.
Season stats ordered from most to least relevant. Longer bar, stronger league standing.
MILPHI
5.2 (2nd)
Runs
(T11th) 4.5
How many runs does the team score per game?
(League Avg: 4.5 Runs/Game)
0.747 (4th)
OPS
(23rd) 0.710
How strong is the team's overall offense?
(League Avg: 0.719 OPS)
34.2% (1st)
OBP
(T22nd) 31.2%
How often does the team get on base per plate appearance?
(League Avg: 31.9%)
0.405 (10th)
SLG
(T18th) 0.398
How many total bases does the team average per at-bat?
(League Avg: 0.401 SLG)
147 (T28th)
HR
(T12th) 177
How many home runs has the team hit this season?
(League Avg: 176 HR)
8.8 (1st)
Hits
(T18th) 8.1
How many hits does the team get per game?
(League Avg: 8.2 Hits/Game)
25.9% (2nd)
AVG
(T18th) 24.2%
How often does the team get a hit per at-bat?
(League Avg: 24.4%)
148 (5th)
SB
(T15th) 101
How many bases has the team stolen this season?
(League Avg: 104 SB)
3.9 (T4th)
Runs Allowed
(T8th) 4.2
How many runs does the team allow per game?
(League Avg: 4.5 Runs/Game)
3.58 (2nd)
ERA
(11th) 3.96
How many earned runs do pitchers allow per 9 innings?
(League Avg: 4.18 ERA)
1.19 (4th)
WHIP
(T11th) 1.28
How many runners do pitchers allow per inning?
(League Avg: 1.31 WHIP)
9.67 (2nd)
K/9
(1st) 9.83
How many strikeouts do pitchers get per 9 innings?
(League Avg: 8.48 K/9)
164 (10th)
HR Allowed
(20th) 180
How many home runs has the team allowed this season?
(League Avg: 176 HR)
7.4 (T2nd)
Hits Allowed
(T19th) 8.4
How many hits does the team allow per game?
(League Avg: 8.2 Hits/Game)
22.4% (3rd)
BAA
(18th) 24.6%
How often do opponents get a hit per at-bat?
(League Avg: 24.4%)
98.7% (T9th)
FLD%
(T13th) 98.6%
How often does the defense avoid errors?
(League Avg: 98.6%)
Pitching Matchup
Opens shortly
Probable starters haven't been announced yet. The full pitching breakdown publishes here once both teams name a starter.
Team Conditions
Bullpen health, schedule rest, and the current injury list.
MILPHI
Bullpen
3.47 ERA
(4th of 30)
4.30 ERA
(20th of 30)
Closer is rested and ready.
Closer has pitched several days in a row.
One setup reliever may be limited tonight.
Setup relievers are rested and ready.
Manager is leaning on middle relief more than usual.
Middle relief arms are fresh.
Long reliever was just used and may be unavailable.
Long reliever is available if needed.
Rest
Had a rest day before this trip.
No day off before this road game.
No major travel concerns.
Limited time to recover.
InjuryKey Players
G. Mitchell (CF) - SEP 17
G. Anderson (RP) - SEP 15
B. Wilson (RP) - SEP 15
B. Woodruff (SP) - SEP 15
B. Fitzpatrick (RP) - JUL 4
Q. Priester (SP) - JUN 18
A. Zerpa (RP) - MAY 31
J. Bowlan (RP) - SEP 17
C. Kilian (RP) - SEP 17
J. Luzardo (SP) - SEP 15
F. Reyes (LF) - AUG 20
B. Keller (RP) - JUL 29
J. Rojas (CF) - JUN 25
A. Garcia (RF) - JUN 24
Weather and Ballpark
Opens shortly
Game-time conditions aren't meaningful yet this far out. The real forecast and ballpark read publish here a couple days before first pitch.
Side Write-Up
🔒 Final pick drops September 24
The pick may already be decided, but it stays under wraps until the day before first pitch -- so it can't be second-guessed by a week of news, lineup, or line movement.
Total Write-Up
🔒 Final pick drops September 24
The pick may already be decided, but it stays under wraps until the day before first pitch -- so it can't be second-guessed by a week of news, lineup, or line movement.
VIMB
Written by
VIMB
47,000+
Followers Across All Socials
17+
Brand Partners
3+
Years Experience
1,000+
Games Tested
This information is for entertainment purposes only and is not any form of financial or gambling advice. Sports involve high variance therefore always be responsible and manage your risk accordingly.
Other games today
Free Promos for Your Next Bet!
Current offers for your area. Pick your region and the list updates.
Select Your Location