St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers, MLB Picks

St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
Sun, Sep 27 · 3:10 PM ET
Market Action
Opens shortly
Odds haven't been tracked for this game yet. The moneyline and total graphs, splits, and sharp-money read publish here once the market opens.
Model Projection
These numbers come from a power-rating model built on the method Billy Walters lays out in his book Gambler.
Projected Moneyline
MIL -230
Projected Total
9
This projection and current market action are supplementary and do not influence the final qualitative pick and analysis of today's game.
Season stats ordered from most to least relevant. Longer bar, stronger league standing.
STLMIL
4.5 (T12th)
Runs
(T2nd) 5.1
How many runs does the team score per game?
(League Avg: 4.5 Runs/Game)
0.697 (26th)
OPS
(4th) 0.744
How strong is the team's overall offense?
(League Avg: 0.719 OPS)
31.5% (T17th)
OBP
(1st) 34.1%
How often does the team get on base per plate appearance?
(League Avg: 31.9%)
0.382 (27th)
SLG
(T11th) 0.403
How many total bases does the team average per at-bat?
(League Avg: 0.400 SLG)
161 (T23rd)
HR
(T28th) 149
How many home runs has the team hit this season?
(League Avg: 179 HR)
8.2 (T14th)
Hits
(1st) 8.8
How many hits does the team get per game?
(League Avg: 8.2 Hits/Game)
24.2% (19th)
AVG
(2nd) 25.8%
How often does the team get a hit per at-bat?
(League Avg: 24.4%)
97 (17th)
SB
(5th) 156
How many bases has the team stolen this season?
(League Avg: 106 SB)
4.7 (T22nd)
Runs Allowed
(T2nd) 3.8
How many runs does the team allow per game?
(League Avg: 4.5 Runs/Game)
4.29 (22nd)
ERA
(2nd) 3.54
How many earned runs do pitchers allow per 9 innings?
(League Avg: 4.18 ERA)
1.36 (23rd)
WHIP
(4th) 1.19
How many runners do pitchers allow per inning?
(League Avg: 1.31 WHIP)
7.98 (T24th)
K/9
(2nd) 9.64
How many strikeouts do pitchers get per 9 innings?
(League Avg: 8.49 K/9)
155 (4th)
HR Allowed
(9th) 165
How many home runs has the team allowed this season?
(League Avg: 179 HR)
8.6 (T24th)
Hits Allowed
(T2nd) 7.4
How many hits does the team allow per game?
(League Avg: 8.2 Hits/Game)
25.4% (26th)
BAA
(T2nd) 22.3%
How often do opponents get a hit per at-bat?
(League Avg: 24.4%)
98.7% (T8th)
FLD%
(T5th) 98.8%
How often does the defense avoid errors?
(League Avg: 98.6%)
Pitching Matchup
Opens shortly
Probable starters haven't been announced yet. The full pitching breakdown publishes here once both teams name a starter.
Team Conditions
Bullpen health, schedule rest, and the current injury list.
STLMIL
Bullpen
4.52 ERA
(24th of 30)
3.41 ERA
(4th of 30)
Closer has pitched several days in a row.
Closer pitched recently but should be OK.
Setup relievers are rested and ready.
Setup relievers are rested and ready.
Manager is leaning on middle relief more than usual.
Manager is leaning on middle relief more than usual.
Long reliever pitched recently but has had a day to recover.
Long reliever pitched recently but has had a day to recover.
Rest
Home for several days.
No day off before this road game.
No travel concerns.
Limited time to recover.
InjuryKey Players
B. Jordan (3B) - SEP 19
J. Baez (LF) - SEP 18
E. Pereira (RF) - SEP 18
H. Dobbins (SP) - SEP 3
M. Rajcic (RP) - JUL 23
G. Anderson (RP) - SEP 15
B. Wilson (RP) - SEP 15
B. Woodruff (SP) - SEP 15
B. Fitzpatrick (RP) - JUL 4
Q. Priester (SP) - JUN 18
A. Zerpa (RP) - MAY 31
Weather and Ballpark
Opens shortly
Game-time conditions aren't meaningful yet this far out. The real forecast and ballpark read publish here a couple days before first pitch.
Side Write-Up
🔒 Final pick drops September 27
The pick may already be decided, but it stays under wraps until the day before first pitch -- so it can't be second-guessed by a week of news, lineup, or line movement.
Total Write-Up
🔒 Final pick drops September 27
The pick may already be decided, but it stays under wraps until the day before first pitch -- so it can't be second-guessed by a week of news, lineup, or line movement.
VIMB
Written by
VIMB
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Years Experience
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Games Tested
This information is for entertainment purposes only and is not any form of financial or gambling advice. Sports involve high variance therefore always be responsible and manage your risk accordingly.
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