Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees, MLB Picks

Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees

Tue, Sep 29 · 3:33 AM ET

‹

Market Action

BOS @ NYY

Live odds tracking

NYY

OWLS INSIGHTAPI / DATA10% OFF First 3-Months

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Independently featured as a top pick on SportsAPIs directory comparing 30+ sports data APIs, with reviewers specifically calling out its clean multi-book lines and real-time delivery. Real-Time Odds from 20+ Sportsbooks + 4 Prediction Markets. This is the actual infrastructure we use ourselves to power the tools on this site: real, live, professional-grade data, not a scraped or delayed feed. More impressive features include: Sub-Second Sharp Feeds from Pinnacle + PS3838, Built-In +EV Scanner, Fair Pricing, Props + Live Scores.

Model Projection

These numbers come from a power-rating model built on the method Billy Walters lays out in his book Gambler.

Projected Moneyline

NYY -140

Market

NYY -129

Projected Total

8.5

Market

6.5 (O +102 / U -110)

This projection and current market action are supplementary and do not influence the final qualitative pick and analysis of today's game.

Season stats ordered from most to least relevant. Longer bar, stronger league standing.

BOSNYY

4.3 (T20th)

Runs

(T8th) 4.6

How many runs does the team score per game?

(League Avg: 4.5 Runs/Game)

0.719 (T15th)

OPS

(13th) 0.721

How strong is the team's overall offense?

(League Avg: 0.718 OPS)

32.0% (T10th)

OBP

(T24th) 31.1%

How often does the team get on base per plate appearance?

(League Avg: 31.8%)

0.399 (T17th)

SLG

(7th) 0.410

How many total bases does the team average per at-bat?

(League Avg: 0.400 SLG)

162 (T24th)

(1st) 223

How many home runs has the team hit this season?

(League Avg: 182 HR)

8.2 (T15th)

Hits

(T26th) 7.8

How many hits does the team get per game?

(League Avg: 8.2 Hits/Game)

24.6% (T10th)

AVG

(T26th) 23.4%

How often does the team get a hit per at-bat?

(League Avg: 24.4%)

106 (14th)

(6th) 153

How many bases has the team stolen this season?

(League Avg: 108 SB)

3.8 (T3rd)

Runs Allowed

(T1st) 3.7

How many runs does the team allow per game?

(League Avg: 4.5 Runs/Game)

3.54 (3rd)

ERA

(1st) 3.20

How many earned runs do pitchers allow per 9 innings?

(League Avg: 4.17 ERA)

1.23 (6th)

WHIP

(3rd) 1.16

How many runners do pitchers allow per inning?

(League Avg: 1.30 WHIP)

8.76 (11th)

K/9

(8th) 8.99

How many strikeouts do pitchers get per 9 innings?

(League Avg: 8.50 K/9)

151 (T1st)

HR Allowed

(5th) 160

How many home runs has the team allowed this season?

(League Avg: 182 HR)

8.0 (T11th)

Hits Allowed

(T2nd) 7.4

How many hits does the team allow per game?

(League Avg: 8.2 Hits/Game)

24.0% (14th)

BAA

(T2nd) 22.3%

How often do opponents get a hit per at-bat?

(League Avg: 24.4%)

98.6% (T13th)

FLD%

(T23rd) 98.3%

How often does the defense avoid errors?

(League Avg: 98.6%)

Pitching Matchup

Opens shortly

Probable starters haven't been announced yet. The full pitching breakdown publishes here once both teams name a starter.

Team Conditions

Bullpen health, schedule rest, and the current injury list.

BOSNYY

Bullpen

3.01 ERA

(1st of 30)

3.11 ERA

(2nd of 30)

Closer is rested and ready.

Setup relievers are rested and ready.

Manager is leaning on middle relief more than usual.

Long reliever was just used and may be unavailable.

Rest

Home for several days.

No travel concerns.

InjuryKey Players

M. Gasper (DH) - SEP 25

W. Contreras (1B) - SEP 25

G. Crochet (SP) - SEP 23

C. Mead (3B) - SEP 23

E. White (CF) - SEP 22

T. Houck (SP) - SEP 20

J. Oviedo (SP) - SEP 18

J. Slaten (RP) - SEP 15

A. Seigler (2B) - SEP 13

K. Crawford (SP) - SEP 6

E. Rivera (SP) - SEP 1

M. Yoshida (DH) - AUG 18

T. Casas (1B) - AUG 6

Z. Kelly (RP) - JUL 21

R. Weathers (SP) - SEP 25

C. Schmidt (SP) - SEP 24

T. Grisham (CF) - SEP 24

A. Judge (RF) - SEP 23

G. Stanton (DH) - SEP 23

F. Cruz (RP) - SEP 23

K. Castro (RP) - AUG 26

Weather and Ballpark

Opens shortly

Game-time conditions aren't meaningful yet this far out. The real forecast and ballpark read publish here a couple days before first pitch.

Side Write-Up

Opens shortly

This write-up is being put together right now. It'll be here shortly.

Total Write-Up

Opens shortly

The final pick is locked until real market data exists, so it can't be second-guessed by a few hours of line movement. Check back once the market opens.

Written by

VIMB

47,000+

Followers Across All Socials

This information is for entertainment purposes only and is not any form of financial or gambling advice. Sports involve high variance therefore always be responsible and manage your risk accordingly.

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Market Action Model Projection Offense & Defense Pitching Matchup Team Conditions Weather & Ballpark Side Write-Up Total Write-Up

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