Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres, MLB Picks

Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs
VS
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
Tue, Sep 29 · 6:33 AM ET
‹›
Market Action
CHC @ SD
Live odds tracking
SD
-125-1219/27 4PM9/27 8PM9/28 12AM9/28 4AM9/28 8AM9/28 12PM9/28 4PM9/28 8PM-125
OWLS INSIGHTAPI / DATA10% OFF First 3-Months
✓Betting Splits✓Real-Time Odds✓Websocket Push
Model Projection
These numbers come from a power-rating model built on the method Billy Walters lays out in his book Gambler.
Projected Moneyline
CHC -105
Market
CHC +111
Projected Total
9
Market
7 (O -114 / U +105)
This projection and current market action are supplementary and do not influence the final qualitative pick and analysis of today's game.
Season stats ordered from most to least relevant. Longer bar, stronger league standing.
CHCSD
5.2 (1st)
Runs
(T16th) 4.4
How many runs does the team score per game?
(League Avg: 4.5 Runs/Game)
0.765 (1st)
OPS
(T17th) 0.717
How strong is the team's overall offense?
(League Avg: 0.719 OPS)
33.8% (T2nd)
OBP
(T11th) 31.9%
How often does the team get on base per plate appearance?
(League Avg: 31.8%)
0.427 (1st)
SLG
(T19th) 0.398
How many total bases does the team average per at-bat?
(League Avg: 0.400 SLG)
218 (3rd)
HR
(T14th) 182
How many home runs has the team hit this season?
(League Avg: 185 HR)
8.6 (T5th)
Hits
(T17th) 8.1
How many hits does the team get per game?
(League Avg: 8.2 Hits/Game)
25.1% (6th)
AVG
(T16th) 24.4%
How often does the team get a hit per at-bat?
(League Avg: 24.4%)
114 (10th)
SB
(3rd) 163
How many bases has the team stolen this season?
(League Avg: 109 SB)
4.4 (T12th)
Runs Allowed
(9th) 4.2
How many runs does the team allow per game?
(League Avg: 4.5 Runs/Game)
4.13 (14th)
ERA
(10th) 3.99
How many earned runs do pitchers allow per 9 innings?
(League Avg: 4.17 ERA)
1.26 (T8th)
WHIP
(T15th) 1.30
How many runners do pitchers allow per inning?
(League Avg: 1.30 WHIP)
7.84 (26th)
K/9
(19th) 8.27
How many strikeouts do pitchers get per 9 innings?
(League Avg: 8.50 K/9)
230 (29th)
HR Allowed
(15th) 180
How many home runs has the team allowed this season?
(League Avg: 185 HR)
8.2 (17th)
Hits Allowed
(T11th) 8.0
How many hits does the team allow per game?
(League Avg: 8.2 Hits/Game)
24.3% (T16th)
BAA
(15th) 24.2%
How often do opponents get a hit per at-bat?
(League Avg: 24.4%)
99.0% (1st)
FLD%
(T2nd) 98.9%
How often does the defense avoid errors?
(League Avg: 98.6%)
Pitching Matchup
Opens shortly
Probable starters haven't been announced yet. The full pitching breakdown publishes here once both teams name a starter.
Team Conditions
Bullpen health, schedule rest, and the current injury list.
CHCSD
Bullpen
3.93 ERA
(13th of 30)
3.50 ERA
(5th of 30)
Closer is rested and ready.
Closer pitched recently but should be OK.
One setup reliever may be limited tonight.
One setup reliever may be limited tonight.
Middle relief has been used a bit.
Manager is leaning on middle relief more than usual.
Long reliever was just used and may be unavailable.
Long reliever was just used and may be unavailable.
Rest
No day off before this road game.
Home for several days.
Limited time to recover.
No travel concerns.
InjuryKey Players
E. Cabrera (SP) - SEP 25
J. Steele (SP) - SEP 24
K. Gausman (SP) - SEP 24
S. Miller (RP) - SEP 15
T. Thornton (RP) - SEP 12
B. Brown (RP) - SEP 3
P. Maton (RP) - AUG 19
R. Martin (RP) - AUG 19
H. Harvey (RP) - AUG 19
P. Hodge (RP) - MAY 8
C. Horton (SP) - MAY 8
T. Austin (1B) - MAY 8
C. Mize (SP) - SEP 26
J. Musgrove (SP) - SEP 24
M. Andujar (DH) - SEP 24
J. Estrada (RP) - SEP 12
R. Laureano (LF) - SEP 12
L. Rengifo (LF) - SEP 1
L. Giolito (SP) - AUG 24
B. Hoeing (RP) - MAY 8
Weather and Ballpark
Opens shortly
Game-time conditions aren't meaningful yet this far out. The real forecast and ballpark read publish here a couple days before first pitch.
Side Write-Up
Opens shortly
This write-up is being put together right now. It'll be here shortly.
Total Write-Up
Opens shortly
The final pick is locked until real market data exists, so it can't be second-guessed by a few hours of line movement. Check back once the market opens.
VIMB
Written by
VIMB
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Games Tested
This information is for entertainment purposes only and is not any form of financial or gambling advice. Sports involve high variance therefore always be responsible and manage your risk accordingly.
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