Portland Trail Blazers vs Minnesota Timberwolves, NBA Picks

Tue, Nov 17 · 8:00 PM ET · Target Center

Model Projection

These numbers come from a power-rating model built on the method Billy Walters lays out in his book Gambler, seeded from ESPN's own real NBA power index.

Projected Spread

MIN -7

No real live market line available yet.

Projected Total

232

No real live market line available yet.

Projected Moneyline

MIN -250

No real live market line available yet.

This projection and current market action are supplementary and do not influence the final qualitative pick and analysis of today's game.

Season stats ordered from most to least relevant. Longer bar, stronger league standing.

PORMIN

115.5 (17th)

Points

(7th) 118.0

How many points does the team score per game?

(League Avg: 115.6 Pts/Game)

45.3% (29th)

Field Goal %

(9th) 48.1%

How often does the offense make a shot from the field?

(League Avg: 47.1%)

34.3% (28th)

3-Point %

(6th) 37.0%

How often does the offense make a three point shot?

(League Avg: 35.9%)

76.5% (24th)

Free Throw %

(29th) 75.2%

How often does the offense make a free throw?

(League Avg: 78.3%)

25.1 (23rd)

Assists

(16th) 26.1

How many assists does the offense record per game?

(League Avg: 26.7 Ast/Game)

16.5 (30th)

Turnovers

(19th) 14.1

How many turnovers does the offense give away per game?

(League Avg: 13.8 TO/Game)

115.8 (16th)

Points Allowed

(12th) 114.6

How many points does the defense allow per game?

(League Avg: 115.6 Pts/Game)

31.9 (17th)

Defensive Rebounds

(10th) 33.0

How many defensive rebounds does the team grab per game?

(League Avg: 32.4 Reb/Game)

8.3 (18th)

Steals

(12th) 8.7

How many steals does the defense record per game?

(League Avg: 8.4 Stl/Game)

5.5 (7th)

Blocks

(2nd) 5.8

How many shots does the defense block per game?

(League Avg: 4.8 Blk/Game)

Scorer Matchup

Each team's real detected leading scorer, and how he has actually played.

Deni Avdija

F · POR

Tier

High-Volume Scorer

Points/Game

24.2

Rebounds/Game

6.9

Assists/Game

6.7

Field Goal %

46.2%

3-Point %

31.8%

Free Throw %

80.2%

2025-26 season numbers

Anthony Edwards

G · MIN

Tier

Elite Scorer

Points/Game

28.8

Rebounds/Game

5.0

Assists/Game

3.7

Field Goal %

48.9%

3-Point %

39.9%

Free Throw %

79.6%

2025-26 season numbers

Team Conditions

Schedule rest, recent form, and the current injury report.

PORMIN

Rest

Playing on a genuine back to back, no rest since the last game.

Form

2025-26 record 42-40 (home 24-17, road 18-23)

2025-26 record 49-33 (home 26-15, road 23-18)

InjuryKey Players

J. Morant (G) - NOV 8 · Out

V. Krejci (G) - NOV 5 · Out

S. Sharpe (G) - AUG 24 · Out

A. Edwards (G) - OCT 29 · Out

D. DiVincenzo (G) - OCT 5 · Out

Side Write-Up

Analysis in progress

The full write-up publishes once every section above has real data behind it.

Total Write-Up

Analysis in progress

The full write-up publishes once every section above has real data behind it.

Written by

VIMB

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This information is for entertainment purposes only and is not any form of financial or gambling advice. Sports involve high variance therefore always be responsible and manage your risk accordingly.