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Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Florida Gators, College Basketball Picks

Tue, Nov 17 · 4:30 PM ET · Michelob ULTRA Arena
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Model Projection
These numbers come from a power-rating model built on the method Billy Walters lays out in his book Gambler, seeded from ESPN's own real college basketball power index.
Projected Spread
FLA -14.5
No real live market line available yet.
Projected Total
154
No real live market line available yet.
Projected Moneyline
FLA -950
No real live market line available yet.
This projection and current market action are supplementary and do not influence the final qualitative pick and analysis of today's game.
Season stats ordered from most to least relevant. Longer bar, stronger league standing.
NDFLA
74.5 (220th)
Points
(11th) 87.1
How many points does the team score per game?
(League Avg: 75.7 Pts/Game)
44.5% (221st)
Field Goal %
(42nd) 47.8%
How often does the offense make a shot from the field?
(League Avg: 45.1%)
35.6% (90th)
3-Point %
(331st) 30.8%
How often does the offense make a three point shot?
(League Avg: 34.0%)
69.7% (274th)
Free Throw %
(237th) 71.0%
How often does the offense make a free throw?
(League Avg: 72.3%)
12.3 (296th)
Assists
(38th) 16.6
How many assists does the offense record per game?
(League Avg: 14.0 Ast/Game)
11.5 (183rd)
Turnovers
(T225th) 11.9
How many turnovers does the offense give away per game?
(League Avg: 11.6 TO/Game)
75.3 (223rd)
Points Allowed
(113th) 71.5
How many points does the defense allow per game?
(League Avg: 74.0 Pts/Game)
25.5 (99th)
Defensive Rebounds
(5th) 29.3
How many defensive rebounds does the team grab per game?
(League Avg: 24.5 Reb/Game)
4.5 (361st)
Steals
(172nd) 6.7
How many steals does the defense record per game?
(League Avg: 6.8 Stl/Game)
2.2 (337th)
Blocks
(17th) 5.1
How many shots does the defense block per game?
(League Avg: 3.4 Blk/Game)
Scorer Matchup
Each team's real detected leading scorer, and how he has actually played.
Logan Duncomb
Logan Duncomb
C · ND
Tier
High-Volume Scorer
Points/Game
18.2
Rebounds/Game
8.9
Assists/Game
1.6
Field Goal %
60.0%
3-Point %
0.0%
Free Throw %
73.5%
2025-26 season numbers
Thomas Haugh
Thomas Haugh
F · FLA
Tier
High-Volume Scorer
Points/Game
17.1
Rebounds/Game
6.2
Assists/Game
2.0
Field Goal %
46.1%
3-Point %
33.1%
Free Throw %
76.6%
2025-26 season numbers
Team Conditions
Schedule rest, recent form, and the current injury report.
NDFLA
Rest
5 days since the last game, real extra rest.
Standard preparation, 3 days rest.
Form
2025-26 record 13-18 (home 10-7, road 2-9)
2025-26 record 27-8 (home 14-1, road 8-2)
InjuryKey Players
None reported
None reported
Side Write-Up
Analysis in progress
The full write-up publishes once every section above has real data behind it.
Total Write-Up
Analysis in progress
The full write-up publishes once every section above has real data behind it.
VIMB
Written by
VIMB
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Followers Across All Socials
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Brand Partners
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Years Experience
1,000+
Games Tested
This information is for entertainment purposes only and is not any form of financial or gambling advice. Sports involve high variance therefore always be responsible and manage your risk accordingly.
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