Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke, UFC Picks

Radtke has the cleaner record at 12-5-0 compared to Thompson's 17-9-1, he finishes fights at a higher rate with 67 percent of his wins coming by finish versus Thompson's 53 percent, and his grappling numbers point to a fighter who actively seeks to end fights on the ground. Thompson's submission attempts sit at zero per 15 minutes, meaning if Radtke gets the fight to the mat, there is no grappling counter coming from Thompson's side. The age gap at 43 versus 36 adds another layer, since wear over a long career tends to show in the later rounds of a welterweight contest. The honest counterargument is that Thompson lands more volume and has a reach advantage, so if he keeps it standing and forces Radtke to chase, that striking accuracy edge could get neutralized. Even so, Radtke's grappling threat alone gives him a path Thompson has no clear answer for.