Aljamain Sterling vs Kevin Vallejos, UFC Picks

Aljamain Sterling

Kevin Vallejos

Sat, Nov 21 · 1:00 PM ET · Featherweight · ABHA Arena

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UFC Fight Night: Procházka vs. Stirling

Market Action

STERLING @ VALLEJOS

Live odds tracking

VALLEJOS

What the price says, juice removed

STERLING 47%53% VALLEJOS

Book	STERLING	VALLEJOS
Market price	+107	-125

OWLS INSIGHTAPI / DATA10% OFF First 3-Months

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Independently featured as a top pick on SportsAPIs directory comparing 30+ sports data APIs, with reviewers specifically calling out its clean multi-book lines and real-time delivery. Real-Time Odds from 20+ Sportsbooks + 4 Prediction Markets. This is the actual infrastructure we use ourselves to power the tools on this site: real, live, professional-grade data, not a scraped or delayed feed. More impressive features include: Sub-Second Sharp Feeds from Pinnacle + PS3838, Built-In +EV Scanner, Fair Pricing, Props + Live Scores.

Tale of the Tape

Each fighter's real record, frame and per-fight numbers. The marked side holds the edge on that row.

STERLINGVALLEJOS

26-5-0

Record

18-1-0

Age

an edge only once a fighter is 34 or older

5' 7"

Height

5' 7"

71"

Reach

68"

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

4.26

Strikes landed / min

6.12

62%

Striking accuracy

50%

2.54

Takedowns / 15 min

0.66

0.64

Submission attempts / 15 min

42%

Wins by finish

83%

The Read

Sterling holds a clear edge in reach, takedown volume, and striking accuracy, making him the more precise and wrestling-oriented fighter on paper. Vallejos counters with a noticeably higher output rate, an 83% finish rate across his record, and a 13-year age advantage that becomes a real factor once a fighter crosses 34.

The Write-Up

The case for Vallejos starts with finishing ability. He has ended 83% of his wins by knockout or submission, compared to Sterling's 42%, which points to a fighter who consistently puts opponents away rather than grinding out decisions. His strikes landed per minute sits at 6.12 against Sterling's 4.26, meaning he generates significantly more offensive activity. The 18-1-0 record is also worth noting alongside Sterling's 26-5-0, with Vallejos carrying fewer losses. Add in the age gap, and Sterling at 37 is at a stage where physical decline is a documented factor in fight outcomes. The honest counterargument: Sterling's takedown rate and submission attempts give him a credible path to controlling the fight on the ground, where Vallejos has shown very little grappling output. That gap is real, but Vallejos's finishing rate and activity edge make him the stronger overall signal.

Final PickKevin Vallejos Moneyline

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This information is for entertainment purposes only and is not any form of financial or gambling advice. Sports involve high variance therefore always be responsible and manage your risk accordingly.