Shamil Gaziev vs Tallison Teixeira, UFC Picks

Shamil Gaziev

Tallison Teixeira

Sat, Nov 21 · 10:00 AM ET · Heavyweight · ABHA Arena

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Tale of the Tape

Each fighter's real record, frame and per-fight numbers. The marked side holds the edge on that row.

GAZIEVTEIXEIRA

15-3-0

Record

9-2-0

Age

an edge only once a fighter is 34 or older

6' 4"

Height

6' 7"

78.5"

Reach

83"

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

2.9

Strikes landed / min

4.85

54%

Striking accuracy

73%

1.03

Takedowns / 15 min

2.4

0.26

Submission attempts / 15 min

87%

Wins by finish

89%

The Read

Teixeira holds a 4.5-inch reach advantage and lands nearly twice as many strikes per minute at 73 percent accuracy compared to Gaziev's 54 percent, which is a meaningful gap in a sport where distance management shapes the entire fight. Gaziev's 36 years against Teixeira's 26 is a real physical factor at heavyweight, where the demands on a 3-round fight tend to expose aging legs and slower recovery. The only number that favors Gaziev is his more seasoned record at 15-3 versus Teixeira's 9-2, though both men finish the vast majority of their opponents.

The Write-Up

Teixeira's reach of 83 inches gives him a structural advantage he can impose from the first exchange. His striking volume of 4.85 landed strikes per minute and his 73 percent accuracy suggest he is not just swinging more but landing cleaner, and that combination tends to control the pace of a heavyweight fight. His takedown rate of 2.4 per 15 minutes adds another threat Gaziev must account for, which only opens more space for Teixeira's striking. The age gap at heavyweight, where 36 is a credible concern, adds to the case. The honest counterargument is that Gaziev's deeper record and 87 percent finish rate show he has been tested more and has found ways to win; this fight is a smaller sample for Teixeira, and one power shot from an experienced heavyweight can erase any statistical edge. That said, the structural advantages here point clearly in Teixeira's direction.

Final PickTallison Teixeira Moneyline

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